Warm-intro hierarchy — 8 levels from cold inbound to family-equivalent referral; closest tie ≠ best referrer unless it carries domain-competent trust
Created 2026-05-25
Claim (synthesis of [[marsden-campbell-1984-closeness-best-tie-strength]] + [[levin-cross-2004-trust-mediates-tie-strength]] + in-domain practitioner record): Operational hierarchy of warm-intro quality for Ontario trades vendor selection, weakest to strongest:
- Cold inbound (form fill, blind email, ad click) — no tie, no trust
- Cold outbound from the vendor — negative trust prior; buyer must overcome assumption of low competence/benevolence
- LinkedIn second-degree connection — marginal weak tie; useful for attention, not trust
- HBA / trade-show acquaintance — weak tie (Granovetter); bridges clusters but does not transmit benevolence-trust. Useful for novel info, not the buying decision itself
- Supplier-rep or subcontractor introduction — weak tie with structural brokerage (Burt); moderate conversion contingent on rep's competence-trust with the GC
- Peer-coaching cohort member's introduction — medium tie with high benevolence-trust (cohort has shared financial detail); structural guarantee against misrouting because referrer's cohort reputation is at stake
- Close professional ally (a GC the buyer has worked alongside for years) — strong tie with both competence- and benevolence-trust; highest conversion + strongest expectation-set
- Family-or-equivalent reference — strong tie that may not carry competence-trust about marketing specifically but carries maximal benevolence-trust. Risk: expectation-set may be unrealistic because the referrer cannot adequately specify what they're recommending
The non-obvious finding: the closest tie is not always the best referrer. The closest tie that carries domain-competent trust is. A GC's brother who doesn't understand websites is a worse referrer than a peer-coaching cohort member who does.
Confidence: Applied inference, theory-consistent; not in-domain empirically measured.
Depends on
- reference Marsden & Campbell 1984 (Social Forces) — closeness is the best tie-strength indicator, NOT frequency or duration
- reference Levin & Cross 2004 (Mgmt Sci) — competence- and benevolence-based trust mediate tie-strength → useful knowledge transfer; once trust is controlled for, weak ties re-emerge as valuable