Rule — Attach honest timelines and base rates to every tier recommendation
Created 2026-06-23
Rule
Rule: Every widget recommendation carries explicit timeline + base-rate expectations.
Why: Owners interpret a "hard" tier as "impossible" without realistic timeframes; a "soft" tier as "instant" without base rates. Both misframings collapse trust. Pena-Marin 2019 — precise unmet promises destroy source trust ([[precision-credibility-tradeoff]] topic).
How to apply:
- Tier 1: Weeks to a few months.
- Tier 2 local/reviews: Weeks to a few months.
- Tier 2 content/authority: 6-12+ months; only ~1.74% of new pages reach top 10 within a year (Ahrefs May 2025 — only 1.74% of newly published pages reach top 10 within a year (vendor)).
- Tier 3: High-variance, may return nothing — most content and most tools underperform. Case studies are survivors.